Industrial Base Alpha

Lockheed Martin wins $694M Air Force contract to produce AGM-183A ARRW hypersonic missiles

•2 min read•Analysis
A B-52H bomber in flight carrying an ARRW test missile under its wing in 2019, isolated on a plain sand background.
U.S. Air Force photo by Christopher Okula (public domain). Rights basis: public_domain_usgov
Mentioned:LMT Lockheed Martin$694M · Contract Award

The U.S. Air Force awarded Lockheed Martin a $694 million contract on September 29, 2026, to begin production of the AGM-183A ARRW hypersonic missile. The award reverses the service's 2023 decision to nearly cancel the program and marks the transition from test to production for the air-launched weapon.

What's happening

  • Lockheed Martin received a $694 million production contract under the Department of War's Enterprise-Wide Agile Acquisition Contract framework.
  • The AGM-183A ARRW will be integrated on B-52H Stratofortress and B-1B Lancer bombers as the Air Force's first hypersonic weapon.
  • The Air Force added a $345.7 million request in its FY2027 budget for the weapon's Increment 2 phase.
  • The missile uses hypersonic glide vehicle technology derived from the DARPA Tactical Boost Glide program, reaching speeds up to Mach 15.

Why it matters

  • Production capacity for a high-speed strike weapon addresses Air Force operational requirements against advanced air defense systems in contested environments.
  • The program's reversal from near-cancellation signals sustained commitment to hypersonic capability in the bomber force.
  • Fielding ARRW on both B-52H and B-1B platforms diversifies delivery options and distributes industrial risk across multiple airframes.
  • The transition from prototyping to production establishes a serial production line for kinetic-kill hypersonic weapons.

Going deeper

  • The AGM-183A glide vehicle launches from a solid-rocket motor booster to the upper atmosphere, then separates and glides to targets using kinetic energy alone.
  • The Air Force did not disclose the number of missiles ordered or expected delivery dates, citing operational security concerns.
  • A 2024 test from Guam involving a live AGM-183 launch at the Reagan Test Site in the Pacific was considered the program's final test event.
  • The Director, Operational Test & Evaluation report noted in 2024 that the ARRW showed preliminary indications of becoming operationally lethal despite earlier test failures in 2022 and 2023.

Financial impact

  • Lockheed Martin will recognize revenue from the $694 million contract over the period of performance; timing not disclosed.
  • The $345.7 million FY2027 budget request for Increment 2 will flow into Lockheed Martin's backlog as work orders are issued.

The fine print

  • The contract ceiling is $694 million; obligated funds and milestone-based payment terms were not disclosed.
  • The Air Force withheld specifics on production quantities and delivery schedules for operational security reasons.
  • Earlier test failures in December 2022 and March 2023 were attributed to sensor system failures and shroud ejection issues, not fundamental design flaws.
Source: theaviationist.com · Oct 27, 2026 · Drafted with Claude, reviewed by Industrial Base Alpha.

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